Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 170.600550 197.999593 229.683006 269.334580 318.058641 376.535957 4.528825e+02
2025-07-13 139.719352 175.683177 221.850142 286.701637 377.515702 503.450020 6.974481e+02
2025-07-20 124.041346 164.925075 221.456992 307.970624 442.051226 651.291907 1.023561e+03
2025-07-27 108.578721 150.318925 211.275502 310.817906 477.876599 765.041932 1.343659e+03
2025-08-03 98.313604 140.877617 206.037994 318.736734 522.106459 905.120192 1.778339e+03
2025-08-10 88.635838 130.590947 197.337682 318.440925 550.964050 1025.701972 2.239282e+03
2025-08-17 81.550325 123.234204 191.937054 322.307447 587.967669 1175.434109 2.866083e+03
2025-08-24 74.910441 115.661699 184.892736 321.497505 614.991550 1313.242418 3.564403e+03
2025-08-31 69.361131 109.202069 178.784758 321.145313 642.699714 1464.041670 4.435974e+03
2025-09-07 65.522027 105.207628 176.495425 327.894402 688.345798 1682.604431 5.783677e+03
2025-09-14 59.648375 96.990489 165.294468 313.932349 680.377276 1745.361868 6.566040e+03
2025-09-21 56.003020 92.434004 160.526191 313.116844 705.712408 1923.718297 8.147224e+03
2025-09-28 52.256138 87.677291 155.481324 312.499357 736.603731 2156.815865 1.058173e+04
2025-10-05 50.873796 87.258335 159.189960 333.446724 837.327615 2722.881108 1.684985e+04
2025-10-12 49.922873 87.532825 164.345569 359.241001 964.810280 3525.857382 2.901106e+04
2025-10-19 47.260315 84.111386 161.066990 362.701516 1022.057503 4074.840908 4.236435e+04
2025-10-26 45.303085 81.901944 160.147602 372.334991 1106.018404 4869.716138 6.787206e+04
2025-11-02 42.866048 78.453299 155.957134 371.974900 1153.554308 5524.530739 1.013014e+05
2025-11-09 40.969341 75.956871 153.660941 376.683052 1224.459373 6450.376206 1.671095e+05
2025-11-16 38.912138 72.926347 149.721878 375.696558 1272.160291 7301.110108 2.681456e+05
2025-11-23 37.065081 70.190024 146.175883 375.267637 1323.375087 8294.739684 4.572107e+05
2025-11-30 35.805799 68.635578 145.366841 383.491452 1420.790207 9953.540748 1.001061e+06
2025-12-07 33.434640 64.409789 137.363991 366.488783 1386.245983 10191.132969 1.383680e+06